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房价在下降,房子为什么却越来越难卖了?

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根据国家统计局公布的2022年5月份70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况,新建商品房销售价格有46个城市同比下降,占比达到68%,二手房销售价格有57个城市同比下降,占比81%,但是北京、上海、广州、杭州等大城市房价依然坚挺,新建商品房和二手房价格都有增长。

房价在下降,房子为什么却越来越难卖了?

在房价总体下降的情况下,商品房销售面积和销售额双双下降。据国家统计局公布数据,今年1—5月份,商品房销售面积50738万平方米,同比下降23.6%;其中,住宅销售面积下降28.1%。商品房销售额48337亿元,下降31.5%;其中,住宅销售额下降34.5%。5月份,房地产开发景气指数(简称“国房景气指数”)为95.60。虽然在95至105点之间的适度景气水平范围,但是已经接近95以下的较低景气水平。

房价在下降,房子为什么却越来越难卖了?

一边是下降的房价,一边是越来越难卖 的房子。听起来让人感觉不可思议,房价低了,大家怎么突然都没有买房的热情了呢?我认为有以下几个原因,一是疫情常态化下,影响了好多人的收入。特别是旅游、餐饮、教培等第三产业受到影响较为严重,相关从业人员就业与收入预期的不确定性在增加,他们在房产上投资的热情在消退。比较出名的例子就是新东方了,由于教育政策改变,教育培训巨头新东方大幅裁员、市值大幅缩水。二是买涨不买跌的心理。房价在跌,部分刚需人群可能会等着跌倒谷底再出手,处于观望状态;如果房价一直涨,他们往往会果断出手。三是金融机构缩贷。四是前期房产市场饱和。说白了就是房子盖多了,但是常住人口还在减少,这种现象在三四线城市比较普遍。

房价在下降,房子为什么却越来越难卖了?

房价在下降,房子为什么却越来越难卖了?

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